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Note: My original estimates were that based on China's 4% mortality if the entire USA was infected we could have 4% of about 12M people dead. It was far off but not in crowded places like NYC...
HOW IT STARTED:
What i remember is that a smart doctor noted in a map all the locations of a large number of patients and noted there was a cluster around a water well - map attached. In those times - the 19th century there was no public water pipes - just common wells. He was alarmed by the incident of cholera and pushed the government to close the well. It was closed and the outbreak stopped.
Some details from wiki:
John Snow is famous for his investigations into the causes of the 19th-century cholera epidemics, and is also known as the father of (modern) epidemiology.
He began with noticing the significantly higher death rates in two areas supplied by Southwark Company. His identification of the Broad Street pump as the cause of the Soho epidemic is considered the classic example of epidemiology.
Snow used chlorine in an attempt to clean the water and removed the handle; this ended the outbreak.
This has been perceived as a major event in the history of public health and regarded as the founding event of the science of epidemiology, having helped shape public health policies around the world. However, Snow's research and preventive measures to avoid further outbreaks were not fully accepted or put into practice until after his death.
As usual the President uses the Pandemic to get the podium and free press
And officially he put the VP Pence in charge - so HE gets the blame...