Jewels on the JH Web Site πŸ’Ž Covid 19 - CRITICAL TRENDS CHART

Β CRITICAL TRENDS CHARTS

As an example of one of the worst cases as of 6-2-20 is ALABAMA below. But the case count is still relatively low.

It shows a fast increasing 5-day average - you can click on the image to see the current chart.

alabama

Daily confirmed new cases

(5-day moving average)

Note: all charts were as of 6-1-2020

All Credit belongs to JH University - Great work!

Β jh page

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SELECT CRITICAL TRENDS BELOW

NOTE by the author: This is a prelim assessment of the esoteric areas of the JH site

This methodΒ  uses 5 day moving averages (MA ) of covid 19 confirmed cases to measure outbreak by states.

The 5-day MA is the arithmetic average of the previous 5 days. It smoothes the chart to eliminate random (less than 5 days, like 1 day extremes values) fluctuations.Β  MA's are also used for stock market charts - like 200 day MA's. Same here we look for TRENDS.

Click URL or image below for a direct access

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data#charts

Will now focus on the

'Have states flattened the curve'

For direct access you can click on the images

The header of this 2nd form is to select a state below, but the main page gives an amazing graphic of all the states and PR arranged in a map like shape - an amazing feat, and also a shading of blue green for decreasing curves and reddish for increasing curves.

header

Now below the whole page:

5 day ma all states

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We will click on NY as we have focused on that one:

(you can click on the image below for a current chart of NY)

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ny ma 5 day

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Their info on how to understand the chart:

AS OF THIS DATE 6-1-20 IN NY WE SEE A GREE SHADE SINCE THE CASEA ARE

***DECREASING***


NEXT WE EXAMINE THE PEAK - 169 CASES ON APRIL 9 2020 FOR NY

NY PEAK

In general:

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Next click at the link below and select YOUR state:

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/new-cases-50-states

Then ponder on it since charts with MA's are a bit harder to grasp. Just imagineΒ the real 1-day chart will wiggle around this MA 5 day chart a bit. We do this to see the GENERAL TREND.

If the shared area is blue things are getting better, if red they are getting worse.

Note the peaks, are there series of increasing or decreasing peaks. This is the main TREND indicator.Β 

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